I honestly think the Calamity started when Regula was killed.
Maybe we HAVE to prevent a ton of crucial events to happen, like Regula's death and maybe even prior events that potentially lead to this calamity (Like the murdering of Ilberd and even trying to "dissuade" Zenos rather than kill him).
I think this also could relate a lot to the "new game+" mode.
Maybe it's there for players to TRULY explore the lore. Maybe "New Game+" will not be optional as it will just mean, the whole expansion happens AFTER calamity (wow's cataclysm) will be the "New Game+" and we will just walk our way, maybe a bit faster, through all of ARR/HW/SB but doing considerably different things and picking up different alternatives to reach different ends. Only, this would just affect the "story" progression and not instanced/character/level/item progression. Maybe we will travel to truly distorded versions of our already explored world. And these new regions are all regions we already know, just deeply altered through ages of calamities or the lack of them.


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