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  1. #1
    Player
    Ghald's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Limsa Lominsa
    Posts
    131
    Character
    Wolf Ghaladia
    World
    Kujata
    Main Class
    Samurai Lv 90

    Winning Number: 0000

    Does anyone know how Jumbo Cactpot work in term of coming up with the winning number?
    Do the system pick 4 random number or does it pick random purchased ticket, because the chance of 4 zeros' come up with all 4 digits is while possible I find it hard to swallow because of how improbable that is. This week (25 March 2018) draw on Kujata is apparently 0000.
    (0)
    Common sense is not so common anymore.

  2. #2
    Player
    Rufalus's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    Gridania
    Posts
    2,730
    Character
    Lufie Newleaf
    World
    Ragnarok
    Main Class
    Monk Lv 100
    I think full random rather than pick a randomly purchased ticket because you have weeks of no winners. 0000 combination though unlikely is the same likekihood as any other combination of numbers. Lucky for anyone who forgot to fill in their numbers this week and just hit confirm on the default which is 0000.
    (1)

  3. #3
    Player
    XykeVayaris's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2017
    Posts
    62
    Character
    Xyke Vayaris
    World
    Masamune
    Main Class
    Dark Knight Lv 80
    9999 appeared on masamune a few months back so...frankly I'm not surprised. It's just that one chance in a million to happen but still a chance.
    (0)

  4. #4
    Player
    Canadane's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    Limsa Lominsa
    Posts
    7,449
    Character
    King Canadane
    World
    Hyperion
    Main Class
    Warrior Lv 100
    I don't know where or how the rumor started in regards to it picking a numebr from those that have been picked.
    It's not a blind box draw, it's a powerball type thing. It's literally archers shooting arrows at giant spinning number wheels, you can see them do it.

    It being a completely random number is what makes the most sense.

    For the record it was 0222 on Hyperion. I'll never win!
    (1)

    http://king.canadane.com

  5. #5
    Player
    Frizze's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Posts
    2,900
    Character
    Frizze Steeleblaze
    World
    Lamia
    Main Class
    Black Mage Lv 100
    Quote Originally Posted by XykeVayaris View Post
    9999 appeared on masamune a few months back so...frankly I'm not surprised. It's just that one chance in a million to happen but still a chance.
    Its 4 digits, with 10 options each. So 1 in ten thousand, not one in a million. I know its a saying, but that bothers the math part of my brain just a little bit.
    (5)

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Ghald View Post
    Does anyone know how Jumbo Cactpot work in term of coming up with the winning number?
    Do the system pick 4 random number or does it pick random purchased ticket, because the chance of 4 zeros' come up with all 4 digits is while possible I find it hard to swallow because of how improbable that is. This week (25 March 2018) draw on Kujata is apparently 0000.
    the chance of all 4 digits each coming up zeros is 1/10 x 1/10 x 1/10 x 1/10, which is 1/10,000. every single number is equally improbable.

    and the system absolutely does not pick from purchased tickets because if it did every week would have a winner and we know that to not happen.
    (1)

  7. #7
    Player
    Kaliesto's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2017
    Posts
    1,034
    Character
    Adrian Gungnir
    World
    Brynhildr
    Main Class
    Dragoon Lv 100
    I found that double digits tend to be most common winnable combinations 2253 or 4408
    (0)

  8. #8
    Player
    Tint's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    In the right-hand attic
    Posts
    4,325
    Character
    Karuru Karu
    World
    Shiva
    Main Class
    Fisher Lv 100
    Quote Originally Posted by SendohJin View Post
    and the system absolutely does not pick from purchased tickets because if it did every week would have a winner and we know that to not happen.
    that would also lead to an abuse where the whole community will buy the same number and all are winners \^^/
    (1)

  9. #9
    Player
    Gallus's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    1,259
    Character
    Crimson Bloodrose
    World
    Phantom
    Main Class
    Summoner Lv 100
    That further proves that SE's rng is very chain like. Have you guys ever crafted? You either miss 4 80% in a row or you don't miss any in the next 15 steps.
    (0)

  10. #10
    Player
    Stormfur's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2014
    Location
    The World of Darkness
    Posts
    2,764
    Character
    Hex Pathcrosser
    World
    Leviathan
    Main Class
    Dragoon Lv 72
    Once on Leviathan it was 1337. We had several winners that time.
    (1)
    "We want bunny suits for guys!" -- OK! ✅
    "We want Ishgard housing!" -- OK! ✅
    "We want Viera!" -- OK! ✅
    "We want Cloud's motorcycle!" -- OK! ✅
    "We want Blue Mage!"-- OK! ✅
    "We want the ability to earn past Feast rewards!" - HAHA no that's sacred.

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