Multiple Melding Success Rates (Constructive rant?)

[MeeYow]

OK, so I didn't want anyone trying to explain probability to me, I get enough of that from my degree. I know to swap doors so I don't get the goat. What I was hoping for was data, experimental or anecdotal to justify (or not) me spending time on this.

Also, Syntaxlies, over a large enough sample yes you can. 27 melds isn't enough, but I think if I took the time to do about 100 at a fixed %, the expectation and meld success % wouldn't coincide well.

I mean, considering they state %s on the melds, my current results seem to disagree with the given success rates on 5% and .01% confidence levels....however, the sample size, etcetera.

Update: 0/14 on the 22% success lol.

[syntaxlies]

OK, so I didn't want anyone trying to explain probability to me, I get enough of that from my degree. I know to swap doors so I don't get the goat. What I was hoping for was data, experimental or anecdotal to justify (or not) me spending time on this.

Also, Syntaxlies, over a large enough sample yes you can. 27 melds isn't enough, but I think if I took the time to do about 100 at a fixed %, the expectation and meld success % wouldn't coincide well.

I mean, considering they state %s on the melds, my current results seem to disagree with the given success rates on 5% and .01% confidence levels....however, the sample size, etcetera.

Update: 0/14 on the 22% success lol.

my worst luck was on belts and trying to do 2 enmity's. i tried about 20 belts with success rates from 18-28 with different stat materias, failed them all.

sorry i don't have any graphs or anything to show you.
ive heard some say better luck when gear is full SB, and some say not. My 2 best materia x2 melds were on fully SB gear. In fact out of 3 pieces of fully SB gear i used 2 were successful x2 melds.luck maybe, maybe not.