The % to Desynthesis is broken?

[SundayTrash]

U call that 60%

[MihaelB]

U call that 60%

Yes /10char

[Natashio]

That's just about right...

[Ilenya]

U call that 60%

Yes? Considering there is no streakbreaker in this game, 60% still means you can miss every single one you try.

[OoglieBooglie]

I have failed a 7% meld with crafts v close to 40-50 times now. 7% is roughly 1 in 14 or so, so it would be reasonable to think it would happen within the 40, right? Well, the odds of failing a 7% meld 50 times in a row are roughly 2%, which actually isn't all that impossible. The odds of failing that 60% rate 8 times in a row are 0.065% or so. That's still higher than the odds of winning the jumbo cactpot with a single ticket (0.01%, 1 in 10,000).

Probability is both comforting and frustrating at the same time, as you can see.

[FinaSel]

Even if the success rate is 99%, it is still theoretically possible to continue to fail for eternity.

I learned that unless something says 100%, I shouldn't get my hopes up.

[MihaelB]

Even if the success rate is 99%, it is still theoretically possible to continue to fail for eternity.

I learned that unless something says 100%, I shouldn't get my hopes up.

Failed three 99% gathers in a row, the chance of that is beyond ridiculous but it happened

[Claire_Pendragon]

When it comes to gathering, and desynth, the rates always seem off. (HQ rates on crafting seem fine)
But they are the worst with desynth it seems.

I kept a record, as I noticed my constant failures, and once with an 92% chance to succeed, I failed 112 times in a row. (My current record)
Over all, anything under 96% seems to fail at least 75% of the time or more. Anything 97% or higher i've yet to see fail.

Granted my luck in FFXIV is still pretty average over all, compared to my luck in FFXI, so I'll take this kind of luck any day, at least the game is playable.

[MikeWW]

I really hate RNG like that in games. Thankfully this game has just a few cases where RNG can be frustrating, like materia overmelding. But fortunately, going crazy with rank 5 overmelds is purely optional.

[Alistaire]

For every post like this, there's 10 other instances of people getting higher than 60%. You only posted because this happened to you, not the other way around.