Crafting is not random

[Karleguarth]

Seeing your XP values makes me lick my lips in delight at the potential that I could craft.

Do you have any abilities that you prefer over others?

For the best success rate on attempts, I recommend these skills
BSM - Ingenuity (I suppose this actually makes the attempts function as if the synth is several levels lower)
CUL - Less is More, Life's Purpose (Less is more = condenses 1-20 durability loss to 1-4, extremely useful)
LTW - Fulfillment (Not too good on its own, but superb effectiveness with Life's Purpose)
ALC - Preserve (Changes sound from orb during action selection)

but using them alone is not enough to produce a good enough chance of success to the atempt,
you have to take these into consideration as well:

Progression / Durability position of the cycle you're at
(In short P/D goes up and down periodically, and at certain periods you have better chance to success)

Sound from the orb on waits AND when you're selecting your next action
("Wait sounds" are generally better when it's high pitched, while a higher volume from the "select sound" is bad, and easy to cause elemental chaos)

Moon phase and Weather
(Yea I find it easier when the moon is bigger, half/full moon etc., while weather should have some effects on the stability of elements as well, I'm still trying to figure it out)

Guild Buff
(It certainly helps even when it's not a requirement from synths)

That people should shut up whining about how hard it is to craft when this guy here managed to do synths 10 levels above his rank consistently. (~75%)

Basically the picture proof of what some of us already said many times in other threads.

And most of my botches were at 80%+ progression too
But I have to be frank those results were obtained during favorable moon phase,
I tried to reproduce the same result earlier today and it's not as good (Changed to new moon)
But there's still hope since I accomplished those in the pic in Iron Lake, with the minimal guild support.

Well I guess for now this thread is going to be clean from whiners upon seeing the pic and flood the pages with "It's random!!", and we can share our findings here altogether!!