I'm pretty sure that Yoshida has actually said he intends to implement point number 2 above, separating HQ crafting from NQ crafting. I don't have a link to back this up, but I am /fairly sure/ I've seen this in an official statement. (Also, HQ will be guaranteed if you're using all-HQ ingredients, so it's less of a crapshoot if you're willing to spring for HQ ingredients.)

Points 1 and 3 are both still valid though; there's a reason I can't really bring myself to level crafts on this character. (If I didn't have a friend who was leveling crafts and taking all of my results of DoH jobs and refining them, I might be leveling BSM and CRP, but meh.)