Live Letter XXX Discussion Thread

[Normalizer]

one thing i gotta correct on this is that is not how the 50/50 thing would work. each chance is not directly tied to the other one, so no matter what, you have a 50/50 chance on each door. ff14 %s are kinda silly about not having anything to do with the last roll of something. its the whole reason that we can have a gather fail 3 times in a row when at 95%. each hit is 5% that you will get nothing, just like each door being 50%.

Your math is flawed. We have 50% to continue at each gate, but since we got kicked out if we failed, the chance we reach a floor is directly tied to the chance we reach the previous floor. Also, what Arinnaid calculated, is the chance we "can" reach a specific floor, from the beginning in one section. It will only stay 50% chance for every floor if we have 7 doors to choose at beginning and WON'T get kicked if we open the wrong door.

In regards to your gathering example, it is not the same. Think of gathering at 95% but if you failed a hit it close the gathering windows right away, even if you haven't finished all your attempts. That would be the equivalent to this situation.

(Sry, just realized someone posted about this already pls move on and ignore me xD )