precise touch vs innovation?

[Silverbane]

I had something posted but it did not agree with the simulator at Rhoda Baker and Gordon Tyler's Crafting Simulator so I had to rethink it.

OK I rethought it. HT + an Innov-buffed BB is better than PT + BB without Innov -- if the HT suceeds.
If the HT fails, it's much worse. Once you factor in the odds of failing, the expected values are about the same, with a slight edge to PT.

If you are late in the craft, and you know that that PT followed by BB without Innov will get you the quality you need, I say cut your risk and go for it. Using the simulator to figure that out (while you craft) is one way to do that.