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  1. #1
    Player
    Izsha's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    966
    Character
    Izsha Azel
    World
    Exodus
    Main Class
    Warrior Lv 80
    All he said was 'I'd take 10% drop over 100 dungeon quota because the odds of ME being the guy doing 100+ runs is low". That's not gamblers falacy at all. That's just going with odds in your favor. The vast majority of players would get their drops in way under 100 runs. Complete misapplication of gamblers falacy. That would be the same as "I'm planning on going to the casino and loosing money because that's the more likely outcome". That's just a statement of statistical fact.
    (4)

  2. #2
    Player
    Risvertasashi's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2014
    Posts
    4,706
    Character
    Makani Risvertasashi
    World
    Ultros
    Main Class
    Conjurer Lv 50
    Quote Originally Posted by Izsha View Post
    All he said was 'I'd take 10% drop over 100 dungeon quota because the odds of ME being the guy doing 100+ runs is low". That's not gamblers falacy at all. That's just going with odds in your favor. The vast majority of players would get their drops in way under 100 runs. Complete misapplication of gamblers falacy. That would be the same as "I'm planning on going to the casino and loosing money because that's the more likely outcome". That's just a statement of statistical fact.
    It's not one or the other, though. Take a look at hunts. After 3000 seals, you'll get your carbontwine even if drop RNG hates you. But if you have a lucky streak, maybe you won't need to buy even 1 log! There's actually several systems like this in game, it's just rare and inconsistent.

    So, again. You can have the 10% chance. Just... normalize the outliers. That's what I (and I think many others) are asking from SE. Normalize the damn outliers ;)
    (2)