I'm not over-stating anything.
at 50 you have all your skills and so yes you can hold agro against any class in the game, but a fresh 50 will in all likelihood lack the experience to effectively tank some of the content with people who have been running and know that content really well.
the knowledge a good tank needs is knowing that content and knowing their class and a fresh 50 doesn't know all that information yet. not saying they cant learn it quickly or even after there first run in a dungeon or instance but in all likelihood they will have some problems for awhile.
I doubt 3x flash or overpower would hold of a triple flare... or even holy spam without further enmity built up by the tank, actually I know it wont as ive pulled from many tanks with a triple flare buffed and un-buffed.
also as for pld having no dots, that is not true. for one pld's can use fracture from cross class, then there's the str down debuff from rage of halone and then there's circle of scorn, admittedly the only one you have to manage is fracture since the others take care of themselves for the most part.
in all tanking one mob at a time and going slowly will make tanking seem simple but when you start to help push the grp through content quickly not only to save time but for the fun of it then you'll find tanking isn't as simple as it seems. not that i'm saying is really hard or anything but it isn't quite as simple as your statement suggest.
although the weapon may be the biggest factor you can not ignore all the extra str from going from full af to 120-130 gear. that generates a fair bit of extra hate surely, not that ive looked into numbers


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