RNG: How fake is it?

[PenutButter]

5% meld? well 5x20 is 100

LOL, that's not how statistics works man, not even close. 5% is abysmally low and if you manage to get it in 20 attempts than you are very VERY lucky.

But yes, it is just confirmation, frustration, and self-center bias. I like to joke that this game's RNG system in this game is rigged but I assure you that if you were to craft 1000 items at 90% HQ rate, you WILL get around 900 HQ items. The perception is further skewed by the fact that there are lot more people who NQ at 90% than there are those who HQ at 10%, simply due to the fact the instances of people completing a craft at around 90% is FAR greater than the instances of people completing it at 10%. Even with horrible gear and zero knowledge of the crafting system, you would still be able to get over 10-20% on most items in this game.

From atma to desynths to melding, I've found the successes on low chance occurrences to come in waves, and changing zones or doing something else for a few minutes can alter being in one of those lucky times or not.

I do notice this as well, that sometimes you get a horrible streak of fails and then sometimes you get blessed a streak of success. I stand by my statement that you will get 900 HQ items out of 1000 items if you have a rate of 90% HQ chance but this does suggest that the RNG system in this game is odd. However, it is entirely possible that the system doesn't have an odd pattern and I'm just noticing the few rare instances where there just happens, by chance, to be an odd pattern.