There comes a point when you should throw in the towel. That point is different for everyone, but if you pass it you will only be upset afterwards.
Seems like a lot of people are putting way too much time and effort into this single chest. If you can't find it within ten runs my advice is to stop looking and wait for someone else to find it. There is no point killing yourself over it. You had fun without the chest, you had some minor fun looking for the chest, and if you don't stop looking for it you will forget all about that fun you had before and only remember sorrow and anger (both at yourself and the game).... thats more of a hunch than anything.
A game like this needs mysteries... that is almost part of an online world. Just think of FFXI... so many things that people believed without facts... and they liked it, even when following the myths didn't help at all, you THOUGHT that it was helping, so it make you happier. Mysteries, myths, rumors... these make a MMORPG go round. Anyone heard of .hack? Same exact thing. That show is what got me interested in MMORPGs. No one in The World knew much of anything, and that is what made it fun. Eventually we will find out, but until someone figures it out (and it will probably happen by chance) you should just relax, believe in the rumors, try random different things for fun and not for experiments. Don't kill yourself. Mysteries like this keep the game, and the community, interesting.

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