Unspiled Rotation Umbral/Frgrant

[StouterTaru]

3. Toil + Leaf Turn II = average yield: (0.95*0.35*6)[1-(0.95^5)] + (1+(0.35*5))[0.95^5] = 2.579 HQ
4. Toil + Ageless Words = ... this one's complicated. Don't feel like mathing it :P

You overestimated #3, you factored in a chance at hitting all 6 but not getting the 100% at the end.

0.95*0.35*6 + 0.65*.95^5 = 2.498
That 0.65 is when you hit the first five and go from 35% to 100% on the last one

Similar method for #4:
7*0.95*0.05 + 0.05*0.95^5*0.95 + 0.95^5*1.9 = 1.839

#1, #2, and #5 should be noted that they will give you those results when you are at 85% base rate.