A Random Comment

[Welsper59]

I appreciate the response on the matter, and while it really might just be a fallacy, consistent and predictable outcomes really do still raise a flag. When your norm is to fail more than succeed, regardless of the fact that it is significant odds in your favor (70% or greater success chance), and has been occurring over thousands of instances from any given individual, it might still be worth looking in to. I would not question the system in place if it weren't for the fact that the opposite does not hold up... ever.

If I can somewhat consistently fail something with a 70% chance of success 8 times in a row, essentially meaning the 30% of failure won out, shouldn't it be possible that I successfully do something with a 30% success chance 8 times in a row? As anyone who plays this game will tell, that will never happen... ever. The game seems to favor failure regardless of your chances of success. There are so many occasions throughout my mining in this game since launch that a 95% success chance has yielded 3/4, 4/5, and 5/6 fails. They're always in batches, be it in a row or over a larger pool of attempts. This isn't even including the rather consistent occurrences of 1/4 failures on nearly every node with a 90% or higher success chance. Why is it common and predictable that I fail a 45% success chance to meld 8+ times in a row, meaning the remaining 55% won out all those times, yet I will almost never successfully gather something with 55% success rate as a common and predictable outcome?

Maybe the different algorithms are used multiple times for each result when you craft/meld/desynth/gather, maybe it's just my (and many others') imagination on the matter, or maybe its an incorrect display of success chance (as I'm going to assume that is a separate tool from the actual RNG systems used). Either way, it just seems way too strange that for something that is true RNG, outcomes regardless of percentages become predictable in occurrence. Mind you, I'm not referring to the likelihood that after 20 attempts in failure that the next should be success, but rather the fact that it's predictable and common that I got there in the first place so often. This may just be coming from a recent frustration of failing 18 times in a row to meld something with a 45% success chance.