Desynthesis Endgame Guide

[Kenji1134]

Did they recently nerf the acquisition rate of CF1's from lvl 45-49 desynth?
I have gone through a good 10 sets of 20 Electrum Needles, so 200 Needles, and gotten maybe an average of 3 FC1's per set, a 15% chance.
Last week I was getting about 5-6 per set of 20, a ~25% chance... what gives?

[Nyalia]

Did they recently nerf the acquisition rate of CF1's from lvl 45-49 desynth?
I have gone through a good 10 sets of 20 Electrum Needles, so 200 Needles, and gotten maybe an average of 3 FC1's per set, a 15% chance.
Last week I was getting about 5-6 per set of 20, a ~25% chance... what gives?

RNGesus giveth and he taketh away. I needed to get 7 FC1s to make something, so I quicksynthed 12 Raptorskin Chokers (I have crap-tons of raptor leather sitting around) and I got all 7 from just those 12. That's a small sample size, but still - random is random. I think back when I compiled the data I had, I estimated a chance of about 17% (meaning, expected yield of .17) for all demimateria from all items regardless of ilvl, but that doesn't seem right. Too many sample sizes were too small. I stopped caring and gathering the data for demi drop rates at some point because it doesn't really matter what the chances technically are.

Nothing I do changes the fact that RNGesus hates me. "RNGesus hates me, this I know, for my Rose Gold Nuggets tell me so." (Seriously, ~120 artisan spectacles now and 4 MCDs? Really?)