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  1. #1
    Player
    Garlyle's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Location
    Ul'dah
    Posts
    1,349
    Character
    Alvis Yune
    World
    Adamantoise
    Main Class
    Fisher Lv 70
    Quote Originally Posted by DeadRiser View Post
    Failing and stuff when you have a success rate of 90% or higher and you fail it at least twice in a row. For people that don't know math, missing two times in a row with 90% chance to succeed is .001 or a 0.1% chance of happening lol
    From those that do know math, the chance of two 10% events happening in a row is actually 1%.

    Why the hell do materials have to drop in the same slots as chests in the i70/i80 dungeons, I'm trying to get this goddamn Pilgrim's Eyepatch because it's the only healer eyepatch, but it literally drops in one chest from one boss in one dungeon and that chest can still be overwritten by the crafting mats drop and yes I know they're worth some money but do you know how disappointed I get to not even see it dropping some sort of loot? Like "haha, you never even had a chance this run".
    (2)

  2. #2
    Player
    Ultimatecalibur's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Posts
    2,737
    Character
    Kakita Ucalibur
    World
    Siren
    Main Class
    Paladin Lv 86
    Quote Originally Posted by Garlyle View Post
    From those that do know math, the chance of two 10% events happening in a row is actually 1%.
    Its actually a 1 in 19 chance of a double failure when making 2 attempts on something, but more noticeable because you have a 1 in 10 chance of failing the second time after you have already failed once. Saying its a 99% chance is a common error.

    Rolling 2d10 and getting 0,0 is a 1 in 100 chance.
    Rerolling a d10 when you get a 0 on the first roll gives you a 1 in 19 chance of the final number being 0.
    (1)