Anyone knows - is there a way to determine amount of an exp points if i know exactly that i can create NQ item with 100% probability.

i know my
- level
- craftsmanship
- control
- cp
i know recipie's
- level
- difficulty
- durability
- maximum quality

is there any formula that allows to say - you will get at least XXX exp points (i propose that all possible bonuses are zero)?