1% drop rates... a thought expriment.

[Skivvy]

After a large enough sample size is obtained you can remove outliers, find the average drop rate, and remove personal biases like that. I've personally seen 2 drop within three runs, but statistically the drop rate is still 1%. He isn't talking about RNG. He is talking about statistics here.

Perhaps I am being dense, but one person saying they've run something X amount of times and they've only seen something drop once is not enough proof in my eyes to claim a 1% drop rate for something in game. If SE were to publish a report showing how many times a particular instance has been done, along with the number of exclusive item dropped, and it still equaled 1%, cool.

[Garlyle]

Why are there so many people running with the 1% drop rate thrown out by the OP? There are other people who have gotten it much quicker.

That's how randomness works.

Either way, while it's pretty argh, it's worth noting that Levi weapons are painful to people because the mirrors are viewed by a lot as necessary, not a bonus. You have three ways to get a level 100 weapon right now: Mirror, Second Coil, or the Atma/Animus megagrind. Essentially, when the alternate choices are "redoing content from my levelling-to-50 days over and over" and "Well, I don't have a static so I'm ****ed"... you see what I mean, right? It should feel less painful once Ramuh weapons and Syrcus Tower drops come into play so there's at least some variety for those who want to get their hands on an i100 weapon.

Doesn't necessarily mean an extremely rare drop existing is still all that great, given like you said, there's 8 people who will see it but only one walks away with it.

[NyneAlexander]

Theres a dude in my free company who has gotten the tonberry drop from a boarskin map, 2 alexadrites from fates, he constantly wins the greed drops in coil, and his retainers steady bring him back rare items from venture. RNG is RNG but RNG is also racist.

[Worm]

This thread reads more like a 'A Lack of Thought Experiment'.

[Almalexia]

I could spend 10~ minutes or whatever it is beating Turn 7 each week, where I'll almost definitely get the UAT eventually if I'm in a static

Are you doing this? Not hypothetically, I mean.

[darkstarpoet1]

i wish they would add more stuff in game with the low drop rates over stuff that you can only run once a week. i would rather be able to go in and play the game doing the content over and over with a chance than i would do something once a week and still only have a small chance at getting an item. one way i am actually still able to play the content the other 6 days 23 hours and 50 minutes a week.