This is a repost from another thread and I can confirm it is correct:
"For a 44 max stat (e.g. Spell speed), 6/11 infusions will be 100%. It's only the last few materia of a tier that have a chance to fail. And it's not even a large chance to fail for the majority of the ones that can fail.
96%, 90%, 82%, 72%, 60% chance of success respectively.
For a 31 max stat, the odds are worse, but still not that bad for the majority of infusions. 100%, 100%, 94% ,88%, 80%, 70%, 60%,50%.
If you don't want to "risk" the last few stat points, again, look to alternative infusions or suck it up and use your wallet."



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