As a community, we have created a lot... I mean a LOT of crafting rotations for 3 star items in a little under a week now.
However I think that we have reached a point where we cannot min-max them much more. There is a limit to how much CP one can have, and how many actions you can fit into 80 durability.
As such, I want to present 3 rotations that seem to be more or less the most optimized for their level of RNG.
A small note. *'s indicate actions after which you can safely use ToT. Sections that have [...Once...] next to them indicate that you can use ToT ONCE during this set of actions without messing up the rotation.
And here we go:
Rotation 1
380 CP
CZ *
IQ *
SH *
PbP *
PbP *
SH2 [
HT
HT Once
HT ]
HT *
CZ *
MM2 *
SH2 [
HT
HT Once
HT ]
HT No need now
SH
GS
Ing2
Inno
BB
CS2
CS2
CS2
Total
8 80% Actions
10 Possible ToTs
16 ToT Chances
-----
Rotation 2
384 CP
CZ *
IQ *
WN2
SH2
PbP
PbP
HT
HT
HT
HT (50%)
HT (50%) *
CZ *
Manip *
SH2 [
HT
HT Once
HT ]
HT No need now
SH
GS
Ing2
Inno
BB
CS2
CS2
CS2
Total
7 80% Actions
2 50% Actions
6 Possible ToTs
9 ToT Chances
-----
Rotation 3
382 CP
CZ *
IQ *
SH2 *
WN2
PbP
PbP
HT (BT)
SH2
BT
BT
BT
BT
BT *
SH *
GS
(Inno) If CP >=74
Ing2
BB
CS2
CS2
CS2
Total
1 80% Action
5 100% Actions
5 Possible ToTs
5 ToT chances
* 2 ToTs Needed*
---=---
Discussion:
Rotations 1 and 2 are primarily RNG based, but also have the highest potential quality output, depending on how many HT's succeed, or how many times you can use ToT and replace an HT with a BT.
Rotation 2 simply trades 1 80% HT for 2 50%'s, this is HIGHLY susceptible to RNG, but also has the possibility of giving you a 9 IQ BB... which should practically get you to 100% from almost 0... Looking at you Terminus Putty...
Rotation 3 is more for finished products. It has considerably less RNG than the other 2, and will almost certainly get you to 100% if you start with a mostly HQ components.
Perhaps when they add new crafting gear, or a new CP food so enable us to reach 400 CP, then we can replace the one HT in Rotation 3 and just call that the "almost 100% HQ from HQ mats" rotation for 3 star recipes. Until then, we will have to deal with at least some amount of RNG in our crafting lives.