Quote Originally Posted by Pibz View Post
I don't... just.. what?!
"Your chances of getting Atma after 3 FATEs and 3000 FATEs are the exact same."
Is this your understanding of statistics? So if you roll a dice a 1000 times you'll have the same chance of getting a 1(or whatever the number) as you would on just 2 rolls?... I don't even know what to say to this.
There's no progress because each time you try to get an Atma, you have the same chance of getting an Atma.

If you try 3000 tries, you have a better chance of getting what you because you are trying more often. But you're not making progress, because nothing you are doing is improving the chance of getting an Atma on the next try.

WoW had this problem years ago, and they fixed it. Every time you failed to get what you want, the odds you would get what you wanted next time improved. So if the drop was 1%, next time it would be 1.1%, then 1.2%, etc. There is progress even if you're unlucky.