Normally i would agree with you except for a couple of things, look at how much the ps4 has already sold in 5 months. It broke records for the amount of units it sold compared to other consoles. Another thing in the past consoles were coming out every 5 years, people with consoles were playing 360 and ps3 for 7 to 8 years so the jump to next gen was over due. And the majority of gamers on consoles want a ps4 over the other consoles so time will tell, but it wouldn't surprise me if we see a huge decline in ps3 owners within the next year.