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  1. #1
    Player
    Muzy's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2013
    Posts
    446
    Character
    Nira Muzyka
    World
    Diabolos
    Main Class
    Marauder Lv 50
    Quote Originally Posted by Squa View Post
    the 3rd boss drops 10 items. So, WHM chest alone, 1/10 chance to drop.

    (9/10)^47 = .7% chance

    So, seems pretty unlikely that is true
    40+ runs have not seen the healer boots drop once in CT.

    Yeah, probability is low, but it does happen.

    Or try this one on for size. 98% chance of success to gather an item, 12+ fails in a row. It happens, the odds are absolutely astronomical that it will, but it does, and frequently.
    (1)

  2. #2
    Player
    Squa's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    199
    Character
    Square Pusher
    World
    Leviathan
    Main Class
    Arcanist Lv 50
    Quote Originally Posted by Muzy View Post
    40+ runs have not seen the healer boots drop once in CT.

    Yeah, probability is low, but it does happen.

    Or try this one on for size. 98% chance of success to gather an item, 12+ fails in a row. It happens, the odds are absolutely astronomical that it will, but it does, and frequently.
    people are also known to exaggerate their sorrows.
    (2)

  3. #3
    Player
    Muzy's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2013
    Posts
    446
    Character
    Nira Muzyka
    World
    Diabolos
    Main Class
    Marauder Lv 50
    Quote Originally Posted by Squa View Post
    people are also known to exaggerate their sorrows.
    Sure, people do that all the time, in this case though, it's not any of us exaggerating, this is actually happening.

    You might not be having these things happen, but do not misconstrue it as no one having it. Yes they are low probability events, but low probability does not mean it will not happen.
    (2)