Quote Originally Posted by Asdamine View Post
Small top: form a shout group with the intention of farming gear. Make sure every knows that the team will be farming Garuda 7-8 times and I guarantee you it will drop.
Weeeoo weeeoo weeeoo, math police incoming!

What you say is akin to "if you roll a die 6 times, the chance of getting each number exactly once is 100%". Math police no like!

Tricky probability math incoming!

So, calculating the actual chance of getting exactly one of each of the 8 possible weapons when doing 8 runs of Garuda goes something like this:

Number of runs (R) = 8
Number of possible outcomes (different weapons) (W) = 8
Probability of a specific weapon dropping on a kill P1 = 1/W = 0.125
Probability of 8 specific weapons dropping in 8 runs (D) = P1^R = ~0.00000006
Numer of different orders you can get 8 unique weapons in (O) = R! = 40320
Total chance of getting 8 different weapons in 8 runs = D*O = 0.0024

So, the real answer is 2.4%!