So how often has the game thrown you guys an amusing probability curveball?
For example, when I am logging normal trees, with an 88% chance at a given item, and miss all 4 times. By my math, thats 0.12^4 ~ a 0.02% chance of happening, and yet it does, and isnt that rare.

Or when you are doing leves, used Sharp Vision 2, and have a 97%+ chance of getting an item... but miss on the 5th one, resetting your chain and preventing you from using Deep Vigor or Brunt Force...

Its similar for crafting as well... the game LOVES to give me an excellent condition the moment I hit 10 durability, but never when I have Waste Not active... Things like that.

Anyone else care to share their WTF probability moments?