RNG on rolls, string of back luck?

I have no idea why but today i have failed to get a Spring from Midas 3 and Midas 4 for the past 6 hours, every time i roll need i always score 10-30, i did once score 94 only to be beaten by a 98.

What on earth is going on, i understand each loot is a new RNG and doesnt count previous attempts but come on...EVERY ROLL! Has been below 40 every single time and the winner is always above 90.

Is there some stupid account based roll luck?

its just RNG being RNG

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Originally Posted by Valkyrie_Lenneth

its just RNG being RNG

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I thought this but after 30 runs you would of thought i would at least got one...but nope i think there is back end code that determines roll luck. Cause mine has always been bad no matter what i do.

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Originally Posted by ScarletDawn

I have no idea why but today i have failed to get a Spring from Midas 3 and Midas 4 for the past 6 hours, every time i roll need i always score 10-30, i did once score 94 only to be beaten by a 98.

What on earth is going on, i understand each loot is a new RNG and doesnt count previous attempts but come on...EVERY ROLL! Has been below 40 every single time and the winner is always above 90.

Is there some stupid account based roll luck?

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Is this what they call "confirmation bias?" You rolled a 94 today.

Like Monster Hunter the desire sensor is real.

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Originally Posted by Mirili

Is this what they call "confirmation bias?" You rolled a 94 today.

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Someone else rolls a 98...after i had done it for about 20 runs why cant i just be given my drop? Others get theirs in 1 run, why should other suffer having to do 30-50 runs.

This has been me with the Bismark bird. I have rolled mostly low, but when I rolled 74, 86, and 94 I was beaten by higher rolls. Just the way it goes.

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Originally Posted by ScarletDawn

Someone else rolls a 98...after i had done it for about 20 runs why cant i just be given my drop? Others get theirs in 1 run, why should other suffer having to do 30-50 runs.

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I am near at 200 runs so... don't complain about 50. Plus I believe the Animus weapons are starting back up so bird farming will have to go on the back burner for a while.

RNG is RNG, bad rolls can and will happen. Randomness also means that you aren't gaurenteed to get a high roll after a certain amount of low rolls, and vice versa, it is completely possible to get a string of very good rolls.

Only advice is to never leave until after what you are rolling for has been awarded. Sometimes your low roll still ends up winning (Gotta love beating a person's 5 with a 6!)

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Originally Posted by Gokuhan

I am near at 200 runs so... don't complain about 50. Plus I believe the Animus weapons are starting back up so bird farming will have to go on the back burner for a while.

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But this is for a weekly drop i shouldnt have to grind my ass off just for a weekly, now Bird farm i can understand as its a super rare item, but a weekly token...

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Originally Posted by Gokuhan

This has been me with the Bismark bird. I have rolled mostly low, but when I rolled 74, 86, and 94 I was beaten by higher rolls. Just the way it goes.

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Don't feel too down about rolling low numbers because you'll never know, you might win it. How you ask? Recently I won my Bismarck bird and I only rolled a 51 o.o

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Originally Posted by ScarletDawn

But this is for a weekly drop i shouldnt have to grind my ass off just for a weekly, now Bird farm i can understand as its a super rare item, but a weekly token...

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Were you only going for it today, or have you been trying the whole week? Because if there was something influencing the numbers we all know it would give low rolls to those who waited till the last day.

Seriously though bad luck happens. If nothing else try and go with friends/FC so you can get it gaurenteed.

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Originally Posted by Dualblade

Were you only going for it today, or have you been trying the whole week? Because if there was something influencing the numbers we all know it would give low rolls to those who waited till the last day.

Seriously though bad luck happens. If nothing else try and go with friends/FC so you can get it gaurenteed.

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Been trying all weekend but i feel your right, the last day seems to give me low rolls all the time. On a side note i finally got my spring i needed 2 but meh i need at least 1 and then 2 more week comming...so yea i think maybe its cause everyone leaves it till the last second?


I feel we need a fail safe for a weekly loot system IE do 10 runs each run gains a token u hand in for the token item, just so u can get at least ur weekly drop, the hand in has a weekly.

1) Get some buddies together and make a premade
2) Run 2-3 runs of each floor
3) Profit

If everyone's after the same drop you may need more than 2-3 runs but still it won't be 30. Even if you don't have a full 8 man premade, you'd be amazed at how much easier it is to get your drops when 4/8 people already have what they want for the week.

I once nearly capped my lore tomes just by running A5 for a bolt
the week before though I was one shotting my loot

I just got a shaft yesterday with 28. I beat 5 people who rolled on it.

If I don't get something from Midas in 2-3 DF runs, I go partly or fully premade to farm it for my item.

http://puu.sh/nXU5U/f27b54900b.png

Pretty much how I feel about my rolls any time I try to do Midas in DF.

Going premade avoids this and avoids bad players. Win!