What item level minimum for 6.1 duty?

Based on past trends, what item level minimum should we likely expect for the duty (be it a dungeon or a trial... I think I've heard a dungeon confirmed) coming with 6.1?

I realize no one knows for sure, but for y'all that have been playing this forever, I'm sure it wouldn't be hard to speculate a ballpark. Given time to gear up, the job I'd ideally run a new dungeon with (tanking for trusts) wouldn't be the same I'd run a trial with (a ranged DPS among live players), so I want to consider my options.

Anyone? Is there a pattern to guess this answer from?

EDIT: To be clear I'm talking about the MSQ dungeon/trial

555 For the Alliance Raid.
the entry requirement is usually 35 ilevls below tome gear

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Originally Posted by Dzian

565 For the Alliance Raid.
the entry requirement is usually 35 ilevls below tome gear

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Oh I should be more clear: I'm talking about the MSQ dungeon/trial.

Aren't the new duties usually around, if not slightly higher(like 10-15 ilvls) than the last story dungeon drops?

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Originally Posted by Omedon

Oh I should be more clear: I'm talking about the MSQ dungeon/trial.

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Generally if you can get into the alliance raid you can get into everything that patch.. the new dungeon would likely be 550. its usually 5 below the alliance raid..

This is why a lot of people say content is dead on arrival becuase you already over power it before it even drops.
new content will be 550-555 when players are decked in 590...

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Originally Posted by Avatre

Aren't the new duties usually around, if not slightly higher(like 10-15 ilvls) than the last story dungeon drops?

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I did encounter this when I arrived toward the end of Shadowbringers, but I also noticed that the first dungeon took a huge leap from the entry requirement level to the drop level, before settling into that standard "you'll need 5 more levels than the previous dungeon will give you," which I found frustrating and dumb, but that was indeed the pattern.

Judging from past expansions the item level tuning is usually such that the the unrestricted tomestone gear is good enough to get you into all of the x.1 patch content, so 560-570 is likely.

If i560 is the minimum for 6.1 then EVERYONE should be ready for it as you get a full set of i560 gear just before the end of Endwalker. In fact, most people should probably be at i580 or higher before 6.1 comes out as the cost of crafted i580 gear has plummeted over the last few weeks.

The item level requirements vary but are usually something a casual player would be close to from only farming dungeon and alliance raid loot.

If you buy the latest crafted gear from the market board, you should be more than fine.