Originally Posted by
Tsumdere
It's not objective and you can't glean much information in the way of difficulty from variance. There are other factors that play into why a job has a high/low variance.
Variance can be altered by number of parses (DNC has triple the parses of MCH), influence of crits on the job, flat out mathematical damage potential capping the ceiling, job responsibility (did you know RDM has a higher variance than all melee but DRG, sometimes the second highest variance behind BLM depending on the fight), and the fight itself.
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If we are to take damage variance as the actual difficulty of classes (based on savage), it would be:
BLM > BRD > DRG > RDM > DNC > RPR > MNK > NIN > SMN > SAM > MCH
And for fun so you can see the affects of how it can change drastically per encounter:
DSR: DRG > BLM > MNK > SMN > SAM > DNC > RPR > BRD > MCH > RDM > NIN
Criterion: MCH > SMN > SAM > DRG > BLM > RPR > NIN > DNC > MNK > RDM > BRD
TEA: BLM > RDM > NIN > DRG > SAM > DNC > MCH > MNK > SMN > RPR > BRD
It's kind of all over the place with only two consistent factors (DRG/BLM in top 4). If we were to take the data at face value - SMN is harder than SAM, DNC is harder than MNK, NIN is a melee for brainlets, and DRG shitstomps over the other melees in difficulty.