Gathering and probability....

A copy paste I have from WoW forum for these threads.

"The biggest mistake they ever made was putting the hit %'s for everyone to see. I've seen so many stupid opinions on abilities chance to hit based on "hunches", imagination and bitterness that i can't really be bothered to argue against these people anymore. No interest in facts, no interest in burden of proof. Just an empty discussion that'll lead nowhere. "

Honestly, anyone who blindly believes that odds in a computer game are fair and not rigged are cra-zay.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Hobo

Oh trust me I took the full time reading your nonsensical post. You're just completely illogical. You're the same type of person who walks up to a roulette table in Vegas and sees that the last 15 numbers have been black and thinks it's GOING TO BE RED. EACH roll is an independent event. Failing your first attempt doesn't change the odds for your second roll.... AS THEY ARE INDEPENDENT EVENTS. Please go and educate yourself in statistics because spewing your anecdotal evidence on how RNG is broken.

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Honestly, there's a nontrivial chance that the table is somehow biased toward black, so you really should bet on black. If the table wasn't biased toward black then it is just as likely to be red or black, so you're not losing anything. If people are really as paranoid as they claim, they should suspect the game is rigged and just stop and cut their losses instead of keep going.

You know... in my first post I DID say roll the die several hundred times.

I understand the concept of sample sizes, and that over larger amounts of time, the gathering rate should level out to near what the advertised percentage is. The fact remains that it won't.

I am just pointing out that the game isn't rolling a hundred sided die to decide, it's rolling a ten sided one. It doesn't take a very large sample size to figure it out.