Yeah most likely late november/early december. He uses the "It will come sooner than people think" line with 2.4 and the expansion. Most people expect by mid october, so ..
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The Famitsu Connect Weekly date/information is a bit misleading. According to Enterbrain's website, it's knowledge/opinions/information, gathered from players as such it's a bit behind on the updates. For instance, the November issue(released in Sept.) was about 2.35 which came out a month earlier. Them talking about 2.38 in the december issue does not rule out an Oct 2.4 release date.
https://translate.google.com/transla...-text=&act=url
2.4 will more than likely be talked about in the Jan. issue since they seem to do analysis/player research. As opposed to the weekly/monthly famitsu which is more of a "here's some flashy stuff" platform.
My guess is right before Halloween or two weeks after Halloween.
When they say 3 months they don't mean 90 days on the dot. If Patch A lands at the start of July and Patch B drops near the end of October they're still within their three month window. As you can see it averages around 100 days which is a little over a week off. Not bad considering they deviated from their original intent and started doing sub-Patches every month which actually adds to development time.
Since the fan fest in Las Vegas has a 2.4 preview in its heading it will not be before then. But whenever Yoshi does a patch Preview in a live letter it normally comes out on the following Tuesday which would make it the 21st which also roughly aligns with the average time it takes before patches. I wouldn't put the 28th out of reach either because of a new job that would make patching far more difficult than the previous ones.
Let's cross our fingers that the Monday Live Letter on 27th is the premonition for a next day patch... Otherwise it'll be the first week(Tuesday) of November.