This is my guess as well :)
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There is a Japanese alpha test on the 11th which is the last one of phase 2, so we wont be in.
It only took "the next week" to go from Phase 1 to Phase 2 so maybe expect EU/NA around 12th week or most likely 19th week since they might need a week prep for US.
According to JP friends, in the live letter they will be announcing that other regional phases will be at the end of the month going into Dec. The reason being simply that the dev team needs a break. We'll find out if this is true or not soon, but I think it's for the best.
Yeah, our next info dump will the be live letter. No use holding our breath until then.
Rermember that Alpha is just a test of the servers.... it is not ARR. Yes, Phase 2 Alpha is Japanese only and it is expected to end before Yoshi gives his update on the 11th. Phase 3 is primarily a California test to see how the servers communicate. That will start when SE feels the hardware is ready. Phase 4 is the full set of servers interlinked world wide. It is expected to go welll and be finished before Christmas. Beta test of ARR is schedueled to start about Christmas but may be delayed.
All I see here is speculation. None of you have legit info. Just watch Twitter/Lodestone.