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Originally Posted by
MrThinker
Interesting. So let me try to break some of the arguments presented down and argue on Belhi's side on why Ardbert made the best decisions he could. This is not an arguement about who was the true cause of the flood. On that point, the only thing I can say is that Ardbert coud only act on his known information, and I think the story has explained it well enough why he couldn't have known more.
I probably should have phrased it more clearly. (My excuse is I'm kind of fighting my keyboard, which is undergoing some really annoying switch bounce.)
My point was more that I accept Ardbert doesn't know the entire situation, but that does not excuse his taking Elidibus's words at face value. Especially since the Ascians have a habit (presumably subconscious, since they do it even when they don't need to) of speaking in poetic implications, rather than clear communication.
And this:
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The problem is that Ardbert and his companions knew none of these things, and had no reasonable way of discovering them either. They acted on what little information they had on hand.
is basically why I say (and Ardbert himself says) he was wrong for trusting Elidibus. Ardbert was acting on what information he currently had on hand. He should have tried to obtain more information, and to vet that information. It's something he should have learned during the course of his adventures, mainly because from what we see of his adventures through the Cardinal Virtues echo visions and Seto's short story, Ardbert going off half-informed and having to be reined in by his comrades is something that happened in his early days, but by the time he learned the true identity of the Shadowkeeper, he put in enough thought to identify a true mastermind.
To be clear, I'm not saying Ardbert wasn't understandable for listening to and trusting Elidibus. He was presumably in an emotionally unstable state, and not thinking clearly. But that still made his actions stupid (or "not smart", at the least). Ardbert admitted that later in 5.0, which is why I'm still well-disposed towards him. He made a mistake, and owned up to it, which makes him all good with me, but that doesn't change that it was a mistake.
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No, the Lightwardens were already a thing, and so was the Everlasting Light sky. Vauthry happened in the latter-half of the century following the Flood, and things still looked bleak, even with Eulmore fighting against the Eaters.
Hence why I said the recovery would be much slower, and probably much more devastating in casualties, especially among the long line of Minfilias. But I still believe the First would have recovered, rather than just staving off the inevitable, because of something that might be one off those "don't think about it too hard" disconnects between story and gameplay: there's no actual guarantee that the player character would have taken care of Eden, since it's side content. So all the celebrations and thanks of the 5.x series where the inhabitants of the First go "thank you for saving us from the Flood of Light" would have been really weird if Eden was still that big of a threat. (Especially when the big farewell scene was in 5.3, and Eden was finally defeated in 5.4.)
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Cylva knew nothing. In fact, while a lot of people say she was working to save the Thirteenth by saving the First, thats not the truth of it at all. She was told the fall of the Thirteenth doomed the First to the same fate by the hands of Light and the only way to save a world doomed by her failure was to undergo a rejoining.
Honestly I probably will accept this. My original viewpoint was exactly what you said, but I was convinced otherwise by, well, this lore forum. At this point I consider this an issue with the aforementioned "poetic implications" of Ascian words, as relayed to us. The Ascians phrased their message to Cylva in several disjointed clauses, and trying to make sense of it requires rather a lot of assumptions that could easily be negated with "they didn't actually say that".
(I can rant about the sheer unhelpfulness of what Cylva said in terms of eking out a clear meaning, but that would probably be going a bit afield. If anyone wants, I'll do it, with the understanding that it's just a rant without solution.)
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Cylva believed her world was lost. It's Unukalhai in the Void Quests who brings up the idea of saving the Thirteenth and subsequently ignites such a hope in her. Unless you meant 'saving the Thirteenth' in a 'Rejoining' kind of way... which still isnt supported by her words and her actions. Her stint as the "Shadowkeeper" was to save a world doomed by her failure. She believed the Thirteenth was gone, no way to be saved. And thus she would have been useless in solving the threat of the Flood. Something else to point out is that Cylva also had no idea that Mitron became Eden, and thus the source of the Flood.
The more I think about it, the more I believe Cylva was tricked in the same way many were tricked by the Ascians: the Ascians made several statements, and left it to Cylva to join the dots herself in a way that was most convenient to them. Again, it would be off-topic to analyze those words now, but my interpretation (taken from this forum) was that Cylva did think she could, through some "primordial balance" method, save the Thirteenth by tilting the First towards Light. Not all the way to a Flood Of Light, but more towards the "ready for Rejoining" threshold.
Notably, Cylva as the Shadowkeeper didn't try to cause enough Darkness to counterbalance the Light of Ardbert and his friends. She caused enough Darkness to almost counterbalance the Light, but making it just weak enough for the Light to triumph. That would be an odd decision to make if the warning was that Primordial Forces would cause the First to tip to Light anyway, without her interference.
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And again, how was Ardbert supposed to know that? From his perspective, she literally left him and the others in the lurch. We know its not her fault, but there was no way for Ardbert to.
I admit I'm not entirely sure what the exact dialogue was, but I've always been a little suspicious about how Ardbert knew about Hydaelyn in the first place. In the Cardinal Virtues echo scenes and Seto's short story, I don't think anyone actually mentioned Hydaelyn. However, I don't recall it clearly enough, so I'm willing to be proven wrong.
My unsupported speculation (again, which may be completely wrong) is that the reveal of Hydaelyn as an active force (as opposed to just "the Light" in general) was told to Ardbert by either Cylva or Elidibus. And given the deeply suspect manner of bias by the Ascians on what Hydaelyn actually is (cf Lahabrea's Praetorium rant), I feel like Ardbert may have gotten that biased viewpoint.
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Ardbert and his friends had no known course of action, and so they chose what seemed like the only path open to them, because the Ascians were also the only ones who were able to give them any form of knowledge about the problem. And because of that, all that Elidibus needed to do was to both poke at wounds the heroes already had open, and then offer what seemed like a bandage. The heroes were desperate. And when people are desperate, caution and good sense tend to fly out the window.
Well, yes. Ardbert was not thinking clearly, and understandably so. As mentioned, I understand why Ardbert acted the way he did, but I don't accept that he was correct to act the way he did.