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  1. #1
    Player Catsby's Avatar
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    Mar 2011
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    What exactly are you trying to measure? Drop rate or drop rate under TH effects?
    (2)
    Dear Customer,
    We have determined that the post you made was in violation of the User Agreement policies. The post was edited or deleted accordingly.
    Original Post:
    Signature states "JP ONRY" in Japanese.

  2. #2
    Player Nynja's Avatar
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    Mar 2011
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    730
    Character
    Nynja
    World
    Carbuncle
    Main Class
    THF Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by Catsby View Post
    What exactly are you trying to measure? Drop rate or drop rate under TH effects?
    If someones foolish enough to fight these without attempting to stack TH, then they're flat out retarded...
    (4)

  3. #3
    Player Bumbeen's Avatar
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    Apr 2011
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    352
    Character
    Bumbeen
    World
    Valefor
    Main Class
    RDM Lv 1
    I see some of you(catsby, sureal) skipped the statistics day in math class.
    (4)

  4. #4
    Player Byrth's Avatar
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    Mar 2011
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    2,172
    Character
    Byrth
    World
    Lakshmi
    Main Class
    DNC Lv 99
    1.96*SQRT((3/22)*(19/22)/22) = 14.3%

    So we can be 95% sure that the drop rate is between 0 and 28%.

    Considering that pop rate used to be about 20-25% per day after window opened (even distribution, iirc). Now you have to do a little work, but you might be getting about that high a pop rate per NQ kill.

    No Math Version: STOP WHINING. START WINING! (honey wine, that is!)
    (4)

  5. #5
    Player HFX7686's Avatar
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    Mar 2011
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    344
    Character
    Meare
    World
    Bahamut
    Main Class
    RDM Lv 90
    1/4 KB triggers dropped on TH7-9 off Behemoth for my group.

    Not a good drop rate at all.
    (2)

  6. #6
    Player Sureal's Avatar
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    Mar 2011
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    Windurst
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    195
    Character
    Surealistic
    World
    Bahamut
    Main Class
    NIN Lv 99
    hows about you get data BEFORE you present it, thats generally how things work, just saying
    (0)
    In a world of milk and honey, there is no cake

  7. #7
    Player Catsby's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sureal View Post
    hows about you get data BEFORE you present it, thats generally how things work, just saying
    Pretty much. Test still isn't internally valid.
    (0)
    Dear Customer,
    We have determined that the post you made was in violation of the User Agreement policies. The post was edited or deleted accordingly.
    Original Post:
    Signature states "JP ONRY" in Japanese.

  8. #8
    Player Nynja's Avatar
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    Mar 2011
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    Character
    Nynja
    World
    Carbuncle
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    THF Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by Sureal View Post
    hows about you get data BEFORE you present it, thats generally how things work, just saying
    Quote Originally Posted by Catsby View Post
    Pretty much. Test still isn't internally valid.
    You're both inept...clinging onto ONE argument over and over. SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES

    However, since the galka edited his post after I replied, I missed this gem
    Quote Originally Posted by Sureal View Post
    refusing to put your seals where your mouth is
    I already stated these fights cost 99KS, and I've already demonstrated the math of how long it would take 1 person solo to get sufficient KS to initiate another fight (1 seal per 5 min, presumed even distribution of 50% between kindred and beastmen, 990 minutes or 16.5 hours...and if you go "well just team up duh pfft stupid", theres still only so many mobs available). Believe it or not, I actually DO have a job, and actually do enjoy attempting to have a social life, so spending every awake moment (sleep 7.5 hours, farm 16.5 hours, dont eat dont shower dont piss dont work dont pay for internet nor ffxi...) farming colibris for kindred seals for the next year just to satisfy your primal urge for a sample size of 500...not gonna happen.

    From a statistical standpoint, sure, chant SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES SAMPLE SIZES allllllllllllll you want. From a logical standpoint, theres a pattern I see, a ridiculously low drop rate considering what you need to start it up. Yeah, I would have been happy with 25% drop rate, HQ kings open on day 3, and contrary to your "they usually take 2 weeks to spawn", they usually spawn by day 6-7. But the difference between a 25% drop rate, and the 10% drop rate were seeing is an average of 396 seals per spawn and 990 seals per spawn. Your AVERAGE player probably wont amass more than 1500 KS in their playing career, but they probably also used a bunch in the past 7 years on KS30 and on KS99's when were first introduced and had big money. Seeing as how the game is basically Abyssea Fantasy XI now, and kindred seals dont drop there (or very very rarely)...the only way you're going to get seals now is by attempting to farm them, instead of previous method during FFXI of getting them while you xp. However, where people opt to xp/merit is not SE's problem in this case.


    As to that gem of a quote I forgot to emphasize on. I had 11 KS99 worth of seals on my main, and 2 each on my 2 mules. Would that satisfy your urges for a sample size? thats only 15, FIFTEEN. That's a mockery of your desire for sample size. Since the addition of the triggered kings NM's, I'm down to 0 attempts on both my mules, and 5 on my main. So even if I "put my seals where my mouth is", you'd still whine about my sample size.

    inb4 "just make 3 parties with your 2 mules"
    (4)
    Last edited by Nynja; 05-29-2011 at 01:54 AM.

  9. 05-29-2011 01:31 AM
    Reason
    Profanity, inappropriate language.

  10. #10
    Player Sureal's Avatar
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    Mar 2011
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    Windurst
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    195
    Character
    Surealistic
    World
    Bahamut
    Main Class
    NIN Lv 99
    true, presenting this as a work in progress has no problems persay but that is not how this was presented, it was presented at "this is the way it is, i have only done a small number but i can assume that my drop rate is accurate"

    this thread was made to complain about a drop rate that was not yet known, and is still not known
    (0)
    In a world of milk and honey, there is no cake

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