"Yaaar!" .. really?

[Dzspdref]

Go to Norg, notice when the ship THERE is getting ready to leave in any "evening" time slot. HP warp to Selbina, jump on boat to Mhuara, you got pirates. Works every time for me every week I've done this without fail. Worst part is waiting a bit in Norg, which can be problematic with coinciding the ride.... but now guesswork is nearly over.
Now to get one where you have to ride the airship to Kazham. Or ride a chocobo from a city to Jeuno. There's some ideas...

[ZionRebels]

the pirate ship leaves norg every 57 minutes.

selbina<->mhaura is every 16:00 , 00:00, and 08:00

the pirates will attack the boat everytime the pirates departure matches the 00 00 time spot from selbina<-> mhaura. If it matches at 16 they dont attack. if it matches at 08 i never tried so cant confirm if they attack this timeline spot.

[Catmato]

Based 7 year necrobump.

[Zenion]

the pirate ship leaves norg every 57 minutes.

selbina<->mhaura is every 16:00 , 00:00, and 08:00

the pirates will attack the boat everytime the pirates departure matches the 00 00 time spot from selbina<-> mhaura. If it matches at 16 they dont attack. if it matches at 08 i never tried so cant confirm if they attack this timeline spot.

Okay this is huge if true. Is that 57 earth minutes, or 57 Vana'diel minutes? If it's Vana'diel then I think that should mean a chance literally every 57th ferry trip... so every 19 Vana'diel days, but that would mean it's always 00:00, 08:00, or 16:00, it can't line up so any two or more of those times can have pirates and ferries launch at the same time.

If it's earth minutes though... a ferry runs every 19.2 minutes at 2.4 earth minutes per Vana'diel hour, which should make the intersection there every 95th trip, about once every 30 hours and 12 minutes? And then there's potentially a 1/3 or even 2/3 chance that it just doesn't happen if the 16:00 observation is true (not chance-based, if there's pirates at 00:00 this would mean maybe pirates 95 trips later, and definitely not pirates 190 trips later.)

I could swear I've seen pirates twice in a day before so those figures both seem a bit too big, but I guess it's easy to test if somebody can find a pirate ship the first time and keep track from then on.

[ZionRebels]

based on vanadiel time... you have pirate ships leaving all the time its a quick cycle of arriving and departure.

u need to go to norg and mark the timeline its departing in a notepad and then u can make the calculation when it ll be next time it ll match the 00 00 from selbina to mhaura.

its a rotation of a few vanadiel days.