You are correct that no magic-ws's miss and of course correct that Immanence is based on stratagem charge's JA timer, but proper spacing of JAs or multiple scholars makes this a non issue.
I don't want a game where Immanenced spell from a reasonably geared SCH can "miss". Because it is based on timers, it should be able to hit reliably. That said, there's something wrong with magic accuracy having no relevance towards the ability. I don't want Immanence to have a hit-rate cap (like melee strikes do).
In hard content for a person's group (whatever that may be), there is no downside to Immanence. There's no downside to sidelining melee unless the boss specifically is strong against mages (or has lots of shadows, like you brought up). The GEO, BLMs, SCHs all love the same buffs and you can frequently only use offensive buffs with mage-oriented strategies because defensive buffs aren't needed. Even on fights with wide magic aoes, like say Meteor, it's typically not that hard to toss a curaga to the BLMs.
If it didn't have such a tremendous impact on the balance, I don't think many people would care.
On the other hand, the changes SE has been making look promising. Perhaps melee oriented strategies will become more appealing when the AoE changes affect relevant content. If they continue with these changes, perhaps no nerf is needed.
I don't want to see SCH nerfed because nerfs suck.

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