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  1. #11
    Player RAIST's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
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    Bastok
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    Quote Originally Posted by Demon6324236 View Post

    That is how!
    and again.. that chart is a limited sampling and doesn't completely reflect the weather patterns...fire was just in the forecast again for lightsday in altepa--for the fourth KNOWN time in this cycle during the first week of May.

    That is 4 forecasts during the first week of May in game: 5/2, 5/3, 5/5, and 5/7---4 out of 6 days (or hours) with fire in the forecast. That chart only shows 1 instance near first and last weeks of the month for altepa and one mid May for the Cape, missing 3 instances right off the bat just for the month of May.

    Again.... it follows a pattern, and if you put effort into tracking it....you can predict a lot of the times it will pop (to within a 1 RL hour window at best, one RL week window of high frequencey at worst). Over a week in advance, I knew ~20 seperate 58 minute windows during the past 9 days when weather would be in the forecast because I documented a section of the cycle and saw it repeating. Those instances started lining up with my notes as far back as 8/23 (RL Calendar).

    Edit: I have two dates scribbled on the side... think they are for the next game year in the cycle. If that is true, fire will be in the forecast again for two lightsdays on Sept. 25--one lightsday starting around Midnight Eastern time, the next around 8 AM Eastern. Unfortunately, that's a Tuesday and not a good day for me...but if it was, I could check the forecast Monday night, perhaps hit it then, and/or hit it in the morning if I was up. That's almost a 2 week notice of two opportunities if those were in fact in line with the next game year for the cycle.
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    Last edited by RAIST; 09-12-2012 at 11:41 AM.
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