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  1. #491
    Player Atoreis's Avatar
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    Aug 2011
    Posts
    151
    Character
    Atoreis
    World
    Quetzalcoatl
    Main Class
    WAR Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by FrankReynolds View Post
    If your group has 100% success rate on clearing floors (this would be the 100% DA rate), you still have 90% chance that the RNG will screw you (90% chance that DA will not proc).

    On a side note, your original analogy about DA was dumb to begin with, and I never should have elaborated on it.
    Its not stupid you just havent understood it maybe.
    Let me make it more clear.

    Double attack is lucky based function in this game but by adding more % it happens more often.
    You can look at floors you can clear on avg like you look at % of double attack.
    You still need luck to reach 100 but adding more floors you can clear on avg make reaching 100 to happen more often.

    Your analogy is ironically perfect view of old Nyzul Isle when you was able to reach boss floor 100% of the time but RNG of drop rate would screw you 90% of the time. Except if they will go this route in new nyzul drop rate would be around 1% considering how good are those pieces.
    (0)

  2. #492
    Player hiko's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    774
    Character
    Meuporg
    World
    Ragnarok
    Main Class
    BST Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by FrankReynolds View Post
    If your group has 100% success rate on clearing floors (this would be the 100% DA rate), you still have 90% chance that the RNG will screw you (90% chance that DA will not proc).

    On a side note, your original analogy about DA was dumb to begin with, and I never should have elaborated on it.
    if groupA as 100 succes rate on clearing anyfloor 10sec faster than group B, group A need less luck (lower RNG ???) than group B=> skill matter
    (0)

  3. #493
    Player Kristal's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Posts
    1,552
    Character
    Kristal
    World
    Bismarck
    Main Class
    PUP Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by FrankReynolds View Post
    Luck = Skill.

    the end.
    No, it's [Luck * Skill]. If you are lucky you need less skill, but if you are skillfull you need less luck.

    More complex: [(Luck+Cheat) * Skill * Karma], where you can boost your luck by cheating, but karma might kick in when a meteor falls on your house. Those pesky meteors always ruin it for all of us...
    (4)
    "Puppetmaster was our last best hope for peace. It failed.
    Now it's our last best hope.. for victory!"

  4. #494
    Player FrankReynolds's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    2,592
    Character
    Mrkillface
    World
    Cerberus
    Main Class
    MNK Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by hiko View Post
    if groupA as 100 succes rate on clearing anyfloor 10sec faster than group B, group A need less luck (lower RNG ???) than group B=> skill matter
    Here's the problem. At the end of the day i'ts still 90% luck, so group A can clear shit faster all day, and not see a higher floor than group B for weeks / months. That is dumb.
    (1)

  5. #495
    Player hiko's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    774
    Character
    Meuporg
    World
    Ragnarok
    Main Class
    BST Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by Kristal View Post
    No, it's [Luck * Skill]. If you are lucky you need less skill, but if you are skillfull you need less luck.

    More complex: [(Luck+Cheat) * Skill * Karma], where you can boost your luck by cheating, but karma might kick in when a meteor falls on your house. Those pesky meteors always ruin it for all of us...
    it's more luck*(skill+cheat)*karma

    Quote Originally Posted by FrankReynolds View Post
    Here's the problem. At the end of the day i'ts still 90% luck, so group A can clear shit faster all day, and not see a higher floor than group B for weeks / months. That is dumb.
    groupA will average higher than groupB

    if group B was more skilled they'd reach a higher floor than they did!
    (0)

  6. #496
    Player FrankReynolds's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    2,592
    Character
    Mrkillface
    World
    Cerberus
    Main Class
    MNK Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by hiko View Post
    it's more luck*(skill+cheat)*karma



    groupA will average higher than groupB

    if group B was more skilled they'd reach a higher floor than they did!

    Group A clears 20 floors, and gets 2-5 at every ???.

    Group B clears 12 floors and gets 9 at every ???.

    Group B is clearly far more skilled yeah?

    this scenario can repeat itself hundreds of times. Luck is fun.
    (1)

  7. #497
    Player Scribble's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Posts
    171
    Quote Originally Posted by Atoreis View Post
    Ppl still arguing because you are completely ignorant. You make it looks completely lucky based when its not. You need to clear at least 12 floors to beat 100 floor which is enough to block bad players. Being better and clearing more floors greatly increases your avg chance of reaching 100.
    Chance. Better known as LUCK! I didn't ignore what you wrote. If you yourself weren't so ignorant you'd have noticed that the rest of my response was aimed at the person I quoted. The only thing I would point out to you is that there have been suggestions made. Regardless of that, their original implementation of Nyzul was better. Just because you might not agree doesn't make other's opinions ignorant.
    (1)

  8. #498
    Player Byrth's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    2,172
    Character
    Byrth
    World
    Lakshmi
    Main Class
    DNC Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by FrankReynolds View Post
    Group A clears 20 floors, and gets 2-5 at every ???.

    Group B clears 12 floors and gets 9 at every ???.

    Group B is clearly far more skilled yeah?
    Doing well so far...

    Quote Originally Posted by FrankReynolds View Post
    this scenario can repeat itself hundreds of times. Luck is fun.
    Whoops! If you draw sets of independent samples (like floor jumps) from an even distribution (flat like the 2~9 RNG), the mean of the independent sample sets falls into a symmetric distribution about the mean of the population with sufficiently high N. So no, while it is theoretically possible for the scenario to repeat itself hundreds of times, it is incredibly unlikely. Actually, the odds of getting 12 consecutive 9-jumps even once is very very low. (1/8^12 = 1/68719476736) However, that would put you at floor 9, so I'm assuming it was actually 11 consecutive 9-jumps and boss (1/8^11 = 8589934592).

    If two groups have comparable and sufficient sample size, they should see floor 100 at a rate that is mostly determined by how many floors they can clear in 30 minutes. The random number generator is just a distractor designed to frustrate good groups and sometimes smile on weaker groups.
    (7)
    Last edited by Byrth; 03-06-2012 at 09:46 AM.

  9. #499
    Player Fupafighter's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2012
    Location
    AMERICA
    Posts
    433
    Character
    Fupafighters
    World
    Siren
    Main Class
    SAM Lv 99
    It will not take 1 year to get an item...maybe it will take YOU 1 year lol...but not us. Because we actually motivate ourselves to get stuff instead of sitting here complaining about how it's so impossible. STFU lol
    (0)

  10. #500
    Player FrankReynolds's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    2,592
    Character
    Mrkillface
    World
    Cerberus
    Main Class
    MNK Lv 99
    Quote Originally Posted by Fupafighter View Post
    It will not take 1 year to get an item...maybe it will take YOU 1 year lol...but not us. Because we actually motivate ourselves to get stuff instead of sitting here complaining about how it's so impossible. STFU lol
    lol its a 30 minute event that can only be done once per day. I have 23:30 to sit here and talk about just how dumb you are for thinking that you are any more proficient at nyzul isle than I am. Where is your floor 100 gear? you should have it all by now right? Have you even made it to 100?
    (1)

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