Stuff it

[Raksha]

iv actuly keep records of all my crafting binges. Specific moon phases did yeild better results then others over the long haul.

I remember seeing similar result in an old Alla thread way long time ago. Dunno if it was ever followed up on though. Didn't have phenomenal sample sizes, but was pretty consistent.

Tested direction exstensively, it works.

Let's see your data then.

[Kraggy]

I've seen figures that on the face of it seemed to show patterns, OTOH I just never have been able to believe SE would have ever thought about putting such factors into crafting .. I'm sure the devs have had many laughs at players' expense over the years.

Many people do it simply because, as the OP's case demonstrates, the penalty/cost of failure at times is large and few are prepared to follow their convictions and not face the right way at the right phase of the moon, 'just in case'.