Screwed again: Proposed THF job adjustments.

My goal would be to prove within a reasonable margin of error that the TH3 trait is or isn't a reroll. Since it would be a 10% difference in drop rates what kind of sample size would I need for a 4% margin of error? Please forgive my math deficiency.

edit: Considering the alternative would be that TH3 is just TH+1 we better make that a 3% margin of error.

I also don't know much on statistcs. Maybe i'm just saying shit here (so correct me, please~), but i think that if you parsed a 70% drop rate, and this sample had a 10% margin of error, we could very well conclude that TH3 is also a reroll. This is because the 11k parse is very solid. We would need lower margins of error if we didn't know TH2 so well.

I'm just looking for the absolute minimum amount of effort to come up with a solid result. =P

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Originally Posted by Insaniac

I'm just looking for the absolute minimum amount of effort to come up with a solid result. =P

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That would be for SE to just *gasp* tell us what it does.

I don't know why they think it is fun that we still don't know after all these years.

This is not fun.

Approximately 90~100 kills should let you see the difference.

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Originally Posted by Byrth

Approximately 90~100 kills should let you see the difference.

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Pfffft. Consider it done. I'll blast these down in the next couple days.

Heh, okay! Remember to note which ones ding up to TH level 4!

Also, that was an approximation, the formula you're using is:

95% Confidence interval width = 1.96*SQRT(p*(1-p)/N)
Where p = Number of Feathers or Beaks / Number of Kills
and N = Number of Kills

So if you get 70/100 feathers, that's 1.96*SQRT(.7*.3/100) = +/-.09 (9%) for your 95% confidence interval width

It's accepted that SAWS also triggers proc, right? Like, procs but doesn't show on log. Better not use stacked ws just to be safe as well.

I would help you to speed things up but i've been very busy these days :\

non-stacked WS can proc too. You'd be best not WSing at all.

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Originally Posted by noodles355

non-stacked WS can proc too. You'd be best not WSing at all.

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Yeah that's not happening. I'll just kill a few hundred to offset the possible hidden TH procs.